9 Does Economic Growth Lead to Political Stability ?

نویسنده

  • Martin Paldam
چکیده

There are two contradictory answers to the question in the title. The first is the good growth hypothesis: economic growth generates higher incomes, which should make people approve of the government. Hence growth generates stability. The second is the destabilizing growth hypothesis: growth generates complex changes in society, and therefore instability. A part of the instability will be political, so that where the political system is not well established, growth could lead to political instability. Much has been written in defence of both positions. The problem is that there is scant evidence, and most of it is anecdotal. The aim of this chapter is to sift through the evidence and analyse the theory. It is intended to be easily accessible to both economists and political scientists, so we shall limit ourselves to examining three main themes (T1, T2 and T3), where there is a large body of literature which falls squarely between economics and political science:

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تاریخ انتشار 1999